In the contest between the TCU Horned Frogs and SMU Mustangs on Saturday, September 23 at 12:00 PM, our projection system expects the Horned Frogs to come away with the victory. Wanting projections on the final score, spread, and point total, too? Find a complete game projection below.

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TCU vs. SMU Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Toss Up Under (63.5) TCU 32, SMU 25

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Week 4 Predictions

TCU Betting Info (2023)

  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Horned Frogs' implied win probability is 73.3%.
  • The Horned Frogs have one win against the spread this year.
  • In games it has played as 7-point favorites or more, TCU has an ATS record of 1-1.
  • One of the Horned Frogs' two games this season has gone over the point total.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 63.5 points, 0.5 fewer than the average total in this season's TCU contests.

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SMU Betting Info (2023)

  • The implied probability of a win by the Mustangs based on the moneyline is 31.2%.
  • The Mustangs have covered the spread once in two opportunities this year.
  • SMU is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this year.
  • The Mustangs' two games with a set total this season have all finished under the over/under.
  • The average point total for SMU this season is 4.3 points higher than this game's over/under.

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Horned Frogs vs. Mustangs 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
TCU 39.7 21.3 41.5 25.5 36.0 13.0
SMU 39.3 14.0 53.5 7.0 11.0 28.0

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